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2 Koreas to Share Flag at Olympics

Mark Angelo, CEO, Yorkville Advisors

For the first time since the war, in a move that mystified some and enraged others, Korean athletes – from the north and the south – paraded together in the 2000 Sydney Olympics.

For some, the decision signaled a new political reality on the Korean Peninsula, a time of hope for reconciliation that might ease tensions along one of the world’s most dangerous borders. Others saw it as a betrayal of the values that separate the two countries. Now, nearly two decades later, the two Koreas will once again march together under the same flag at the Olympic Games.

2 Koreas to Share Flag at OlympicsAnd, once again, as many are calling this a sign of renewed hope, especially after two years of escalated tension, some, especially in South Korea, are nowhere near as enthusiastic about the situation. For some in the South, marching with the North, especially as the Games are being held in Pyeongchang, feels like capitulation to the Kim family.

But, at least for the time being, that perspective appears in the opposition. Delegations from the two countries have agreed on a series of rapprochement deals to encourage the international community to embrace the Olympics in Korea. Thanks to tensions between the two countries, consumer activity related to the Games – hotel rooms, travel, etc. – has been in a bit of a slump as compared to previous Games.

That begs the question: if direct economic pressure is good enough for a temporary halt to escalating tensions, could a more permanent solution be found in a similar way? That’s a question many in Korea are wondering about, but most people are not openly discussing, at least at this point.

That narrative only goes so far before someone brings up the assumption that Kim’s New Year’s Day invitation to march together was nothing more than a political ploy to ease sanctions on the north. Public opinion in the South is decidedly mixed. While opinion polls in the South agree that most Koreans support the North’s involvement in the Games, about half are against marching under the same flag as their northern neighbors.

And this is where the politics needs to create and distribute a new narrative. If the countries do want to ease tensions, they need to make the people – on both sides – believe they really mean it. At this point, there’s very little consensus on that point, and it’s a huge hurdle going forward.